A Battle of Momentum and Style
With both teams riding on mini-winning streaks, Rain or Shine and Converge are set for a high-stakes showdown in the 2024–25 PBA Philippine Cup at the PhilSports Arena. The game marks a pivotal moment in the elimination round, as both squads aim to stretch their streaks and solidify their standing.
Rain or Shine, powered by an aggressive up-tempo game and gritty effort on the boards, seeks to extend its record to 3-1. On the other hand, Converge, currently at 3-2, looks to build on its impressive run and notch its fourth win in six games. Both teams have shown flashes of brilliance, making this upcoming clash one of the most anticipated midweek matchups.
Injury Concerns Loom Over Rain or Shine
The Elasto Painters face a critical challenge heading into this game: the uncertain status of key frontcourt players. As of the latest update, there’s no confirmation on whether Keith Datu (calf strain), Beau Belga (vertigo), or Caelan Tiongson (back spasms) will be available to play.
Even if one or more are cleared, head coach Yeng Guiao is expected to impose minutes restrictions, significantly impacting Rain or Shine’s ability to match Converge’s physicality inside the paint. Guiao himself acknowledged this concern following their win against Meralco, stating, “We could survive Meralco without our bigs. But we will probably not survive Converge without them.”
Converge’s Frontline: A Dominant Force
Guiao’s apprehension is justified, especially with Converge’s twin towers—Justin Arana and Justine Baltazar—proving to be a nightmare matchup. The duo dominated in their last outing against TNT, with Arana recording 22 points and 11 rebounds, and Baltazar adding 21 points and 12 boards.
Their dominance in the low post and relentless rebounding could pose major problems for a Rain or Shine team lacking depth in the frontcourt. Converge’s success isn’t limited to its bigs either—Schonny Winston and Alec Stockton chipped in 19 points apiece in that same game, showing that the FiberXers can score from all areas.
Payback and Preparation: Converge’s Added Motivation
Aside from chasing another win, Converge also has revenge on its mind. The team was eliminated by Rain or Shine in the quarterfinals of the previous Commissioner’s Cup—a loss that left a bitter taste for the players and coaching staff.
“Masakit sa amin nu’ng ma-knock out kami,” said Baltazar, alluding to their desire to exact payback. Interim head coach Franco Atienza echoed that sentiment but emphasized discipline and preparation. “Even without their bigs, Rain or Shine scored 128. We can’t underestimate them. We’ll prepare for their best version,” Atienza noted.
What to Expect: A Tactical Showdown
The upcoming matchup promises to be a game of contrasting strengths. Rain or Shine’s speed and system-based execution under Coach Guiao will be tested against Converge’s physicality and interior dominance. With both teams showing the ability to put up big numbers on the scoreboard, defense and execution down the stretch will likely determine the outcome.
Should Rain or Shine manage to field at least one of its bigs at a competitive level, the battle could tilt into a more balanced affair. However, if they remain undermanned in the paint, Converge may very well capitalize and cruise to their fourth win.
Wednesday’s duel between Rain or Shine and Converge is more than just a regular elimination round game—it’s a litmus test for both teams. For Rain or Shine, it’s about proving they can weather adversity. For Converge, it’s a shot at redemption and a statement of intent.
Whichever way it swings, fans can expect intensity, drama, and a highly competitive brand of basketball—hallmarks of the Philippine Cup at its finest.